Napoli have won only one of their four home games this season by more than one goal (2-0 v Cagliari).
Legia Warsaw have won both of their Europa League games this season with clean sheets.
Legia can avoid landslide loss

Serie A leaders Napoli are not faring anywhere near as well in the Europa League and may find Legia Warsaw tough to carve open on Thursday night.

Luciano Spalletti’s squad are in good form domestically, having rattled off eight straight wins in the league, but have had a couple of nights off so far in Europe with last month’s 3-2 home reverse to Spartak Moscow coming as a big shock. Mario Rui’s first-half red card turned the tide in favour of the Russians who scored three goals after the break to leave the Neapolitans joint-bottom of Group C.

Lets be clear, Napoli should win this game, but beware staking your hard-earned on any landslide victory because that would underestimate the Poles and their approach to this game.

Legia look to be in poor form at the moment with three Ekstraklasa league defeats surrounding their 1-0 home win over Leicester from late last month. They aren’t scoring enough goals to compensate for periods where they fall into a collective daze and are regularly punished.

Napoli not as good against deep three-man defences

However, their position in the group means they don’t need to chase three points on Thursday and we would expect them to sit deep with a back three and string five across midfield to frustrate the hosts for as long as possible. Napoli have not performed as well against three-man defences as they have against back fours this season, so we believe the odds on Legia staying within a couple of goals of the Azzurri are worth taking.

Only twice in 11 away games this season have the Polish champions shipped more than two goals (average 1.27 per game) while Napoli are yet to cover a -2 handicap in any of their four home games.

A 3-0 result would satisfy Napoli’s thirst for a win and, although disappointing, Legia will be looking to pick up the



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

那不勒斯在本赛季的四场主场比赛中只有一场超过一球(2-0战胜卡利亚里)。
华沙军团本赛季在欧联两场比赛中都没有失球。
Legia可以避免滑坡损失

意甲领头羊那不勒斯在欧罗巴联赛的表现并不理想，他们可能会发现华沙军团在周四晚上的比赛中很难开球。

卢西亚诺·斯帕莱蒂的球队在国内的状态很好，在联赛中取得了8连胜，但在欧洲赛场上已经休息了几个晚上，上个月在主场以3-2逆转莫斯科斯巴达克，这是一个巨大的冲击。马里奥·鲁伊上半场的红牌逆转了局面，俄罗斯在中场休息后攻入三球，使那不勒斯队排在C组倒数第一。

让我们清楚一点，那不勒斯应该赢得这场比赛，但要小心，把你的血汗钱押在任何压倒性胜利上，因为这会低估波兰人和他们的方法。

军团目前的状态看起来很差，在上月末主场1-0战胜莱斯特后，他们在埃斯特拉克拉萨联赛中三次失利。他们没有进足够的球来弥补他们陷入集体眩晕和经常受到惩罚的时期。

那不勒斯在对付三人防守时表现不佳

然而，他们在小组中的位置意味着他们不需要在周四的比赛中追三分，我们希望他们用后防三后卫和中场五后卫来尽可能长时间地挫败主队。那不勒斯在三人防守上的表现不如本赛季在四人后防线上的表现，所以我们相信军团在蓝衣军团身上能进几个球的几率是值得把握的。

在本赛季的11场客场比赛中，波兰队只有两次进球超过2个(场均1.27个)，而那不勒斯在四场主场比赛中还没有一个进球超过2个。

3-0的结果将会满足那不勒斯对胜利的渴望，尽管令人失望，军团将会继续寻找机会