Lazio have won four of their five home games this season.
Marseille have failed to win their last three away games (two draws, one defeat).
Marseille have scored one goal in total in their last three away games.
Lazio shouldn’t take backwards step

Lazio enjoyed their best result under Maurizio Sarri when they overthrew Italian champions Inter at the Olimpico on Saturday and we don’t expect them to take a backwards step against Marseille.

I Biancocelesti have taken some time to get used to Sarri’s tactics and training methods, but there are definite signs that things are coming together – although the recent 3-0 loss at Bologna showed there may still be the odd bump in the road.

Even so, the underlying stats from that defeat suggest the scoreline was not a fair reflection of an even contest. Lazio’s results have been almost perfect in Rome with just the one draw among four home victories, including the derby.

So we feel justified in making them the selection for this pivotal Europa League Group E fixture between the clubs currently in second and third. Sarri’s side began with a 1-0 loss to Galatasaray in a game decided by a calamitous goalkeeping blunder, but they totally outplayed Lokomotiv Moscow last time out to get three points on the board.

Le Classique on the horizon for visitors

Marseille have two points from two fairly uneventful draws in this competition and with attacking lynchpin Dimitri Payet an unused sub on their trip to Moscow, we can’t be sure they will be at full throttle for this – also because they take on PSG in Le Classique on Sunday.

Les Phocéens began the 2021-22 season in sparking form, but that has dropped off lately during a run of only one win in five matches. Jorge Sampaoli’s side are struggling to score goals on their travels with only one to show from their last three road trips.

The stats don’t point to a win to nil though because Sarri’s team have shipped six in five home games so far with only one clean sheet, so we will stick with the simple home win bet



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

拉齐奥在本赛季的五场主场比赛中赢了四场。
马赛最近三场客场比赛都没有赢(两平一负)。
马赛在最近的三场客场比赛中总共进了一个球。
拉齐奥不应该后退

拉齐奥享受了萨里带领下的最好成绩，他们在周六的奥运会上击败了意大利冠军国际米兰，我们不希望他们在马赛的比赛中后退一步。

拉齐奥已经花了一些时间来适应萨里的战术和训练方法，但有明确的迹象表明一切都在好转——尽管最近0:3输给博洛尼亚的比赛表明，在这条道路上还会有一些磕磕绊。

即便如此，那次失败的潜在统计数据表明，这场比赛的比分并不是公平的反映。拉齐奥在罗马的表现近乎完美，包括德比在内的四场主场胜利中只有一场平局。

所以我们觉得在欧联杯E组的关键比赛中选择他们是合理的，这两家俱乐部目前排名第二和第三。萨里的球队一开始0 - 1负于加拉塔萨雷，但在上一场比赛中，他们完全击败了莫斯科火龙队，获得三分。

Le Classique在地平线上为游客

马赛在这场比赛中两场相当平淡的平局中拿到了两分，而进攻核心佩耶特在莫斯科的比赛中没有上场，我们不能确定他们是否会全力以赴，因为他们将在周日的Le Classique比赛中迎战巴黎圣日耳曼。

Les Phocéens在2021-22赛季开始时状态很好，但最近在五场比赛中只赢了一场后，这种状态有所下降。乔治·桑保利的球队在客场之旅中进球不多，过去三次客场之旅只进了一球。

但数据并没有指向零比零的胜利，因为到目前为止，萨里的球队在五场主场比赛中已经送出了六场球，只有一场没有失球，所以我们将坚持简单的主场获胜押注