Northampton are currently in 14th place as they get set to welcome second place Derby.

Derby have justified their favourite status but that means there is not much value in the market. They should get the job done.

The hosts are in deep trouble here. In defence Northampton's performances have shown some confusing signs. They conceded at least once in 13 of their last 14 matches which lends some further evidence for the away win.

Derby have secured the win in 8 of their last 11 trips away. They've scored three or more goals in 5 of their last 10 away fixtures which explains why they're well liked by the sportsbooks. They have been solid at the back when on the road. Conceding an average of 0.5 goals across their latest 11 trips has given them decent foundations to work with. Should this group of away players produce only 75% of their normal level it will likely be sufficient for the win.



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

北安普顿目前排名第14，他们将迎来第二名德比。

德比证明了他们最喜欢的地位，但这意味着在市场上没有多少价值。他们应该把工作完成。

东道主现在有大麻烦了。在防守方面，北安普顿的表现有些令人困惑。在过去的14场比赛中，他们在13场比赛中至少丢了一球，这为客场获胜提供了进一步的证据。

德比在过去的11次客场比赛中取得了8场胜利。在最近的10场客场比赛中，他们有5场打进3球以上，这也解释了为什么他们受到体育博彩公司的青睐。在客场比赛中，他们的后防线一直很稳固。在最近的11场比赛中，他们平均丢了0.5个球，这为他们的工作奠定了良好的基础。如果这组客场球员的表现只有正常水平的75%，那就足够赢球了。