After losing in Champions League qualifying to Shakhtar Donetsk, Monaco’s road back to the Champions League is most likely going to have to come through this avenue after a horrible start to their Ligue 1 season.

However, Monaco has had some bad luck to open its campaign, winning just one match, but have a +1.94 xGDiff through their first five matches. Last season, Monaco was one of the best in France, posting a +36.4 xGDiff, which was the third-best mark in the league. They were also one of the best home teamslast season, averaging 2.23 xG per game, while only allowing 0.82 xG.

They should have a significant advantage over Austrian side Sturm Graz, who are back in the Europa league after a 10-year hiatus. Sturm Graz finished in fourth place in the Austrian Bundesliga, but were really a very average side, as they only had a +2.42 xGDiff last season. They also really struggled on the road, picking up just 22 points in 16 matches, with a -2.4 xGDiff.

The gap between Ligue 1 and the Austrian Bundesliga from a UEFA Coefficients isn’t much, with France ranked as the sixth-most difficult league and Austria ranked as the ninth-most difficult European league. However, according to TransferMarkt, Monaco’s squad value is $386 million, while Sturm Graz’s is only $32.45 million.



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

在欧冠资格赛中输给顿涅茨克矿工队后，摩纳哥队很可能要通过这条路重返欧冠，因为他们的法甲赛季开局糟糕。

然而，摩纳哥在赛季初就有一些坏运气，只赢了一场比赛，但在前五场比赛中获得了+1.94 xGDiff。上个赛季，摩纳哥是法国最好的球队之一，打出了+36.4 xGDiff的成绩，在联赛中排名第三。他们也是上赛季最好的主场球队之一，场均2.23 xG，而只允许0.82 xG。

他们应该有一个显著的优势，奥地利的斯特姆格拉茨，谁回来了10年的欧罗巴联赛。斯特姆·格拉茨在奥地利德甲排名第四，但实际上是一支非常平均的球队，因为他们上赛季只有+2.42 xGDiff。他们在客场的表现也很艰难，16场比赛只拿了22分，-2.4 xGDiff。

根据欧足联的系数，法甲和奥地利德甲之间的差距并不大，法国在最难的联赛中排名第六，奥地利在最难的欧洲联赛中排名第九。然而，根据TransferMarkt的数据，摩纳哥队的身价是3.86亿美元，而斯特姆·格拉茨的身价只有3245万美元。