Atletico PR have been a really strange team this season. At home they’ve been absolutely outstanding. They average 2.59 points per game at the Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães, the best home record in the division. They’ve won 82% of their home fixtures in the league but on their travels they’ve taken just 8 points from 18 games, which means they are battling to hold onto a place in the top six and the Copa Libertadores next term.

With such a strong home record, they’ll be confident they can pick up another important 3 points here. They’ve won all of their last 7 home games and they’ve been so tight at the back, opposing teams have found them very hard to break down. They’ve let in just 2 goals in those 7 games and have conceded just 0.35 goals per game at home this term on average.

Therefore, one goal has often been enough for them and here they face a Sport Recife side that aren’t the best at the back and are sure to allow them chances to score. Sport are in decent form and have won 3 of their last 5 games to just give them a bit of a cushion on the bottom four with 3 games to go. Overall they have really struggled on the road though, losing 71% of their away fixtures and they’d lost 6 away league games on the spin before a shock 3-0 win over Gremio last time out, although it was a weakened Gremio side that they came up against.

Atletico PR won’t be so generous and given they’ve won 65% of their home games this term to nil, you have to fancy them against a Sport Recife side that have lost 41% of their away games to nil. Therefore, backing Atletico PR to win



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

马竞公关这个赛季是一支非常奇怪的球队。在主场，他们表现得非常出色。他们在Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães的比赛中平均每场得2.59分，这是分区中最好的主场战绩。他们在主场赢得了联赛82%的胜率，但在客场的18场比赛中只拿下了8分，这意味着他们要努力保住前六名的位置，并在下赛季对阵南美解放者杯(Copa Libertadores)。

有了如此强劲的主场记录，他们将有信心在这里获得另一个重要的3分。他们赢得了过去7场主场比赛的全部胜利，他们的后防线非常紧绷，对手发现他们很难被击败。他们在这7场比赛中仅失球2个，本赛季在主场的场均失球仅0.35个。

因此，对他们来说，一个进球就足够了，而在这里，他们面对的是一支在后防线上不是最好的球队，但却给了他们进球的机会。他们的运动状态很好，在过去的5场比赛中赢了3场，这让他们在剩下的3场比赛中有了一些缓冲。总的来说，他们在客场的表现真的很艰难，输掉了71%的客场比赛，而且在上次以3-0击败格雷米奥之前，他们已经输掉了6场客场比赛，尽管他们遇到的是一支实力较弱的格雷米奥。

马竞的公关不会这么慷慨，考虑到他们本赛季主场65%的胜率是0 - 0，你不得不想象他们对阵累西腓的球队，他们客场41%的胜率是0 - 0。因此，支持马竞公关赢得胜利