V-Varen Nagasaki's latest fixture against Fagiano Okayama ended in an away 3-0 loss. I expected more from V-Varen Nagasaki. The lack of focus in the final third cost them three points.

Tochigi's previous game in the competition versus Omiya Ardija ended in an away 3-1 loss. Tochigi didn't turn up and failed to create clear cut chances for most of the game. Tochigi was not convincing in the first-half and scored in the 90+3th minute.

So far, V-Varen Nagasaki plays better on the road than at home. They win 1.84 points per away game on average compared to 1.12 points at home. Although V-Varen Nagasaki is among the most solid home teams in the league, they are far from perfect. Their defence is not as good as expected with just 35% home clean sheets.

Tochigi has picked up 5 points from the previous six league games. It is quite intriguing that they prefer playing on the road. Tochigi has collected 1.18 points on average per away game, compared to 1.05 at home.

It is hard to choose a favourite in this one. Both teams look evenly-matched and have their strengths. I am not willing to take a risk and prefer a double chance bet. My prediction is V-Varen Nagasaki or Tochigi to win.

Still, I expect a close game and don't think that we will see a lot of goals. Both sides score and concede on average 1.95 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals were scored in an average of 32% of V-Varen Nagasaki's home and Tochigi's away games. My prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

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译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

长崎V-Varen最近一场对阵冈山法吉亚诺的比赛以客场0 - 3的比分结束。我对长崎V-Varen的期望更高。在最后三分之一的比赛中缺乏专注力让他们损失了三分。

木木此前与奥米亚阿迪贾的比赛以客场3-1的比分结束。木木没有出现，在比赛的大部分时间里都没能创造出明确的切入机会。木木在上半场表现不佳，在第90+3分钟就进球了。

到目前为止，长崎V-Varen在客场比在主场踢得更好。他们每场客场平均能拿到1.84分，而在主场只能拿到1.12分。虽然长崎V-Varen是联盟中最稳固的主队之一，但他们远非完美。他们的防守没有预期的那么好，主场零失球率只有35%。

木木在之前的6场联赛中拿到了5分。有趣的是，他们更喜欢在马路上玩。木木在客场的场均积分为1.18分，而在主场的场均积分为1.05分。

这其中很难选出最喜欢的一个。两队看起来势均力敌，各有所长。我不愿意冒险，宁愿赌双倍的机会。我的预测是长崎V-Varen或枥木赢。

尽管如此，我仍然期待着一场势均力敌的比赛，不认为我们会看到很多进球。双方场均进失球1.95球。在长崎V-Varen的主场和枥木的客场比赛中，平均有32%的进球超过2.5球。我的预测是2.5以下的目标。

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