Cerezo Osaka's latest fixture against Consadole Sapporo ended in an away 2-1 loss. I expected more from Cerezo Osaka. The lack of focus in the final third cost them three points. Cerezo Osaka was more dominant in the second half and scored in the 78 minute.

Sagan Tosu's previous game in the competition versus Gamba Osaka ended in an away 3-0 win. Although Sagan Tosu countered for most of the game, it was more than enough to win. Sagan Tosu was pretty good in both halves and scored in the 15th, 52nd and 78th minute.

So far, Cerezo Osaka plays better on the road than at home. They win 1.58 points per away game on average compared to 1.57 points at home. Although Cerezo Osaka is among the most solid home teams in the league, they are far from perfect. Their defence is not as good as expected with just 21% home clean sheets.

Sagan Tosu has picked up 11 points from the previous six league games. They still have a lot to prove when playing away from home. Sagan Tosu wins 1.29 points per away game, a bit less than their home record shows.

It is not a surprise that the hosts stand out as a favourite to win this one. Cerezo Osaka lost the previous game at home but still have a lot of advantage over their opponent. They have won 43% of home games which gives them plenty of confidence for the upcoming fixture.

Sagan Tosu got the three points in their previous away games but are still off their best. Their away record does not convince me that they have what it takes to avoid defeat on Saturday.

I am confident that the hosts will prove their worth and triumph with another home victory. Cerezo Osaka wins on average 1.57 points per home game, compared to 1.29 points per away game for Sagan Tosu. My prediction is Cerezo Osaka to win.





译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

大阪塞雷佐的最近一场对阵札幌的比赛以客场2-1的比分结束。我对大阪塞佐的期望更高。在最后三分之一的比赛中缺乏专注力让他们损失了三分。大阪赞佐在下半场发挥了更大的统治力，在78分钟内取得了进球。

佐根哲上一场与大阪刚巴的比赛以客场3-0取胜结束。虽然佐根突在比赛的大部分时间里都在反击，但这已经足够赢得比赛了。佐根土秀在两个半场都表现不错，在第15分钟、52分钟和78分钟都有进球。

到目前为止，大阪塞雷佐在客场比在主场发挥得更好。他们每场客场平均能拿到1.58分，而在主场每场只能拿到1.57分。尽管大阪赞佐是联盟中最稳固的主队之一，但他们远非完美。他们的防守没有预期的那么好，主场零失球率只有21%。

在此前的6场联赛中，佐根哲拿到了11分。在客场比赛时，他们还有很多需要证明的地方。佐根东秀每场客场比赛能得到1.29分，比他们的主场记录少了一点。

东道主成为夺冠热门并不令人意外。大阪塞雷佐虽然在主场输掉了上一场比赛，但与对手相比仍有很大优势。他们已经赢得了43%的主场比赛，这让他们对即将到来的比赛充满信心。

佐根东秀在之前的客场比赛中拿到了3分，但仍然没有发挥出最佳状态。他们的客场战绩并不能让我相信他们有能力在周六的比赛中避免失败。

我有信心，东道主将证明他们的价值和胜利的另一个主场。大阪塞雷佐每场主场比赛平均能得1.57分，而佐根土秀每场客场比赛平均能得1.29分。我预测大阪塞雷佐会赢。