Napoli vs Liverpool Betting Tips: Napoli or draw/BTTS
Liverpool returns to Naples for the third time in 4 years, having lost both previous matches back in 2018 and 2019, and they should expect another tough contest on Wednesday.

Napoli have certainly looked strong in the early part of the season, although they did drop 2 points in their most recent home league match against Lecce but bounced back to form with that big win in Rome this past weekend.

In this competition, Napoli have lost just 1 of their last 11 home fixtures, with only Man City leaving Naples with a victory since Real Madrid won here in 2017. Barcelona, Liverpool (twice) and PSG have all failed to win at this venue in recent years.

Liverpool are of course, strong on the road in the CL, winning 9 of their last 11 away CL matches, including each of the last 5, while they have only failed to score in 1 of their last 14 away CL matches since a 2:0 loss to Napoli in 2019. Liverpool have also seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 7 away CL matches.

Ultimately, this looks a tough fixture to call, but BTTS and Napoli or draw are both appealing selections, with Napoli in great form and Liverpool reliable on the road in the goals market, particularly in this competition.

Betting Analysis & Pick
The market has moved toward Liverpool after the club opened as a +115 moneyline favorite. The Reds closed at a similar price at Inter Milan last spring, and while Napoli is solid, it’s not on Inter’s level based on the previous season’s data.

The market could be underrating Napoli’s attack and overrating its defense early on in the year, though. Throw in Liverpool’s defensive issues to begin the campaign and two surging strikers in Osimhen and Nunez, and I’d look to bet the over.

Liverpool’s attack should be just fine, especially with Nunez leading the line. However, the defensive fragility without Thiago and the same pressing intensity seems real.

The moneyline odds look right to me, but defensive regression for both club



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

那不勒斯vs利物浦博彩提示:那不勒斯或平局/BTTS
利物浦在2018年和2019年都输掉了之前的两场比赛，这是他们4年来第三次回到那不勒斯，他们应该期待周三的另一场艰苦的比赛。

那不勒斯在赛季初的表现确实很强势，尽管他们在最近的主场联赛对阵莱切的比赛中丢了2分，但他们在上周末的罗马大胜后恢复了状态。

在这场比赛中，那不勒斯在过去的11场主场比赛中只输掉了1场，自2017年皇马在这里夺冠以来，只有曼城带着胜利离开那不勒斯。巴塞罗那、利物浦(两次)和巴黎圣日耳曼近年来都没能在这里夺冠。

当然，利物浦在欧冠客场比赛中表现强劲，他们在最近11场客场比赛中赢得了9场胜利，包括最近5场的每一场。而自2019年2:0输给那不勒斯以来，他们在最近的14场客场欧冠比赛中只有1场没有进球。利物浦在最近7场客场联赛中也有6场进球超过2.5个。

最终，这看起来是一场艰难的比赛，但BTTS和那不勒斯或平局都是吸引人的选择，那不勒斯状态良好，利物浦在进球市场上可靠，特别是在这场比赛中。

投注分析与选择
利物浦作为一个赚钱线+115的热门球队开业后，转会市场已经转向了利物浦。红军在去年春天以类似的价格击败了国际米兰，虽然那不勒斯实力稳定，但从上个赛季的数据来看，它与国际米兰的水平并不相同。

不过，今年年初市场可能低估了那不勒斯的进攻，高估了它的防守。再加上利物浦的后防问题以及奥西亨和努涅斯这两名锋线猛将，我敢打赌。

利物浦的进攻应该没问题，尤其是努涅斯带队。然而，没有蒂亚戈的防守的脆弱性和同样的压力强度似乎是真实的。

在我看来，赔率是正确的，但两家俱乐部的防守倒退