Benfica won all five pre-season friendlies with at least three goals in four of those games.
Benfica beat Midtjylland 4-1 in a Champions League qualifier on Tuesday and it could have been more.
Benfica have won ten of the last 11 meetings with Arouca.
59% of Benfica’s home league games last season featured more than three goals.
Schmidt’s influence already plain to see

Benfica were right on brand when bashing Midtjylland into submission in midweek and Roger Schmidt’s men can bring another opponent to their knees when Arouca travel to Lisbon on Friday.

New coach Schmidt is renowned for high-intensity attacking play with plenty of risks and occasional lapses at the back – which is what has been delivered throughout the Eagles’ pre-season program too. Benfica won all five warm-up games with at least three goals in four of them and then took the Danish team apart at the Luz in a 4-1 Champions League qualifying victory that could easily have seen them score six or seven.

It’s going to be a hard ask for Arouca, a team that stayed up by a couple of points after gaining promotion in 2020-21, to keep the scoreline from getting embarrassing on Friday – even if Schmidt decides to rest a couple of players for the second leg in Herning.

Arouca in for an uncomfortable night

But why would he do that when he’s been brought in to deliver the Primeira Liga title and his side have already established a comfortable first-leg cushion? Hence we would expect the hosts to come out all guns blazing again with Arouca on the back foot throughout the contest.

Armando Evangelista’s side picked up just two away wins in the league last term and lost nine, but they were only blanked in 29% of their road trips – suggesting they might be able to grab one at the Luz.

A healthy 59% of Benfica’s home league games last season featured more than three goals – and that was before Schmidt arrived – so we are confident of the win and over 2.5 goals selection here while a 3-1 margin looks very achievable for them in correct score



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

本菲卡赢得了所有五场季前赛友谊赛，其中四场至少打进三球。
本菲卡在周二的欧冠资格赛中4-1击败米德日兰，本可以获得更多。
本菲卡在与阿鲁卡的11次交锋中取得了10次胜利。
上赛季本菲卡59%的主场联赛进球超过3个。
施密特的影响已经显而易见

本菲卡在周中击败了米德日兰，在周五阿鲁卡客场挑战里斯本的比赛中，罗杰·施密特的球队可以让另一个对手屈服。

新教练施密特以高强度的进攻而闻名，他在后场有很多的风险和偶尔的失误——这也是鹰队在季前赛计划中所传递的。本菲卡在5场热身赛中取得全胜，其中4场至少打进3球，然后在卢茨球场以4比1的比分击败了丹麦，本菲卡本可以轻松打进6或7球。

阿鲁卡队在2020-21赛季升班马后还保持了几分的优势，要想在周五的比赛中不让比分变得尴尬，这将是一个艰难的要求——即使施密特决定让两名球员在与赫宁的次回合比赛中休息。

Arouca在这里度过了一个不舒服的夜晚

但是他为什么要这么做呢?他被引进来是为了带来西甲冠军，而他的球队已经建立了一个舒适的首回合靠垫。因此，我们预计东道主会再次火力全开，而阿鲁卡在整个比赛中都处于劣势。

埃万杰利斯塔的球队在上个赛季的联赛中只取得了两场客场胜利，输了9场，但他们只有29%的客场比赛失利——这表明他们有可能在鲁兹获得一场客场胜利。

上赛季本菲卡主场59%的比赛都有超过3个进球——这还是在施密特到来之前的数据——所以我们对胜利充满信心，有超过2.5个进球的选择，而3-1的差距对他们来说是可以实现的