Tip Reasoning
Three of Sundsvall’s last four hom games produced two or fewer goals.
Djurgarden are yet to win an away league game this season.
Each of Djurgarden’s last six competitive away games produced under 2.5 goals.
Promoted Sundsvall must dig in
While Sundsvall begin the round in the drop zone with the worst defensive record in the division, their only two victories this season came across their last four home games and were accompanied by clean sheets, suggesting that they may need to rely on that improved defence to get anything from this tough clash.

On the other hand, Djurgarden are sitting on the peripheries of the European placings, though have been held back by their dire away record in league action (D2, L3). Only two sides picked up fewer than their two away points, which is testament to their home solidity but also puts us off from backing the away win at such short odds.

Both sides have much at stake
Given that all of Djurgarden’s away league games produced under 2.5 goals for a league low average of exactly one goal per game, we believe that the value lies in backing under 2.5 goals in this clash.

Priced around 13/10 at the time of writing, punters could be rewarded with a low-scoring encounter with so much at stake for both sides in terms of the title race and matters of survival. However, we are backing Djurgarden to get off the mark away from home with a 2-0 win over newly promoted Sundsvall.





译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

提示推理
桑德斯瓦尔最近四场主场比赛中有三场的进球数不超过两个。
尤加登本赛季还没有赢得一场客场联赛。
尤加登最近6场客场比赛的进球数都在2.5球以下。
升班马桑德斯瓦尔必须坚持下去
虽然桑德斯瓦尔以分区最差的防守记录开始了这轮比赛，但他们本赛季仅有的两场胜利是在过去的四场主场比赛中取得的，而且都没有失球，这表明他们可能需要依靠改进的防守来从这场激烈的交锋中获得任何东西。

另一方面，尤尔加登处于欧洲排名的边缘，尽管他们在联赛中糟糕的客场战绩(D2, L3)阻碍了他们的排名。只有两支球队拿到的积分少于他们在客场的两分，这证明了他们在主场的稳固，但也让我们无法在如此短的时间内赢得客场的胜利。

双方都有很多利害关系
鉴于尤尔加登所有的客场比赛的进球数都在2.5球以下，而平均场均只有1球，这在联赛中是最低的，我们相信在这场比赛中进球数应该在2.5球以下。

在我写这篇文章的时候，这款游戏的价格大约是13/10，玩家可能会获得一场低分的比赛，这对双方的冠军争夺和生存都有很大的利害关系。然而，我们支持尤加登在客场2-0战胜新升的桑兹瓦尔后取得胜利。