Inter produced a drab display against rivals Milan in their Coppa Italia semi-final first leg in midweek, with the goalless draw extending their winless run to five matches, and their worrying goalless streak to four games. The visit of lowly Salernitana should provide the Nerazzurri with some much-needed respite after they surrendered top spot in Serie A, but they might not have it all their own way at San Siro.

Inter’s run of four matches without a goal has taken in league, cup, and European football, and has seen them take 69 consecutive shots at goal without scoring. Forward Lautaro Martinez looks to have lost all confidence in front of goal, and Inter haven’t exactly provided brilliant service of late, creating less than one expected goal (xG) in four of their last five games.

Meanwhile, Salernitana are on a run of four consecutive draws, but remain well adrift of safety. Their newfound solidity is at least allowing them to salvage some pride; between November and the end of January, Serie A’s bottom club lost by more than a one-goal margin nine times in 11 league games, shipping 31 goals in that run. Since then, they have not lost, and actually won the xG battle in each of their last two.

Inter should seal a win, but Salernitana well worth a handicap punt
In mid-December, Inter battered Salernitana 5-0 on their travels, but they look unlikely to be quite so ruthless this time around, with Davide Nicola yet to lose as Salernitana head coach.

Given the dramatically short prices around the hosts, tipping Salernitana +3 on the handicap market could offer great value at 4/6, with Inter not netting three goals in any of their last eight league games, since that thrashing in the reverse fixture.

However, the Nerazzurri should have the quality to earn a much-needed three points, and a 2-0 home win could be a decent correct score prediction



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

周中，国米在意大利杯半决赛首回合对阵对手米兰的比赛中表现不佳，0 - 0的平局将他们的不败战绩扩大到五场，令人担忧的四场比赛无进球。降级的萨勒尼塔纳的到来应该会给国际米兰提供一些急需的喘息机会，在他们放弃意甲冠军后，但他们可能不会在圣西罗完全随心所欲。

国际米兰在联赛、杯赛和欧洲足球比赛中已经有四场比赛没有进球，而且他们已经连续69次射门没有进球。前锋劳塔罗·马丁内斯似乎对进球失去了信心，而国米在最近的五场比赛中有四场的进球都低于预期。

与此同时，萨勒尼塔纳已经连续四次平局，但仍然没有安全的保障。他们新发现的稳固至少让他们挽回了一些自尊;从去年11月到今年1月底，这家意甲联赛垫底的俱乐部在11场联赛中有9次以1球以上的差距失利，在此期间共进了31个球。从那以后，他们没有输过，实际上在最后两场xG战斗中都赢了。

国米应该会赢得一场比赛，但是萨勒尼塔纳值得一场差点踢的比赛
在12月中旬，国际米兰在客场5-0击败了萨勒尼塔纳，但这次他们看起来不太可能如此无情，大卫·尼古拉作为萨勒尼塔纳的主教练还没有输掉比赛。

考虑到主队的球票价格非常低，给萨勒尼塔纳3分的赔率在4/6的条件下可能会有很大的价值，而国米在过去的8场联赛中都没有进过3个球，因为在那场比赛中他们被击败了。

然而，国米应该有能力赢得急需的三分，而主场2-0的胜利可能是一个不错的正确的得分预测