At 4:10pm on Saturday, Liverpool’s title hopes looked completely out the window. The Reds – who started the day at 6/1 to win the league – trailed bottom club Norwich after an hour at Anfield. Their comeback, alongside Man City’s loss to Tottenham, has lifted their title hopes. Now a win on Wednesday can put them within three points of top spot.

Liverpool have won their last three Premier League home games against Leeds, netting 10 goals in the process. On the basis of the visitors’ loss to United at the weekend, this is likely to be another tough trip.

Dominant Reds in full flow
Liverpool are averaging 19.3 shots per game in the Premier League this season, while they are averaging seven shots on target per game in the Premier League this term; a return only bettered by Arsenal in 1999-00 (7.4) and Chelsea in 2009-10 (7.6).

The hosts have now won each of their last eight games, including five straight wins in the Premier League. They’ve won 13 of their last 15 meetings with bottom-half sides – including a perfect seven from seven at home. They have won those seven 17-2 on aggregate, so expect them to outclass Leeds.

Back Leeds to be blown away
Liverpool are the only side unbeaten at home in the Premier League this season (W9 D3), and have conceded a league-low seven goals at Anfield so far this term. They’ve won by three or more goals on four occasions at home this season, scoring three goals in three straight home league games.

Leeds have conceded at least twice in each of their last five Premier League away games, shipping 18 goals in total. The visitors have also shipped 50 goals this term, while they’ve conceded 15 times across three visits to the current top four.

Those trips account for Leeds’ two defeats by four or more goals. Meanwhile, Liverpool are posting impressive numbers going forward and they keep racking up goals. Given their home record and Leeds’ struggles at the back, I’m going with Liverpool -2 and 4-0 correct score prediction.



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

周六下午4点10分，利物浦夺冠的希望完全落空了。红军以6比1的比分赢得联赛冠军，但在安菲尔德一小时后落后于排名垫底的诺维奇。他们的回归，加上曼城输给热刺，提升了他们夺冠的希望。现在，周三的一场胜利将使他们与榜首的差距缩小到三分以内。

利物浦在最近三场主场对阵利兹联队的比赛中都取得了胜利，并进了10个球。鉴于客队在周末输给曼联，这可能是另一场艰难的比赛。

占优势的红色在充分流动
利物浦本赛季英超场均19.3次射门，而本赛季英超场均7次射正;这一成绩仅次于1999-00赛季的阿森纳(7.4分)和2009-10赛季的切尔西(7.6分)。

东道主在过去的8场比赛中都取得了胜利，包括英超联赛的5连胜。他们在过去的15次与下半时球队的交锋中赢了13次，包括主场的7次完美的7次。他们以17比2的总比分赢下了这7场比赛，所以预计他们会超过利兹联。

回到利兹，让我大吃一惊
利物浦是本赛季英超联赛中唯一一支主场不败的球队(W9 D3)，本赛季在安菲尔德已经丢了联赛最低的7个球。他们在本赛季的主场比赛中已经有四次取得三球以上的胜利，在三场主场比赛中连进三球。

利兹联队在过去的五场客场比赛中都至少丢了两次球，总共进了18个球。客队在本赛季也打进了50个进球，而他们在三次造访目前排名前四的球队时已经失球15次。

正是因为这些客场之旅，利兹联队才有两次输掉四球以上的比赛。与此同时，利物浦取得了令人印象深刻的成绩，他们不断进球。考虑到他们的主场战绩和利兹联在后防线上的挣扎，我认为利物浦2 - 4和4-0的预测是正确的。