Metz have failed to score in three of their last four Ligue 1 outings.
Each of Metz’s last five league matches were goalless at half-time, as were each of the last three head-to-heads.
Marseille’s away league games are averaging just 1.9 goals per match – the lowest in the division.
Metz suffering from woeful home form
The hosts certainly arent enjoying home comforts as they possess the worst record on home soil than any other side in Ligue 1. Of the 11 matches they’ve played at the Stade Municipal Saint-Symphorien, they’ve tasted victory on just one occasion and have lost six. They won’t be looking forward to this match against Marseille either given they’ve struggled against them in recent times and have failed to win this fixture in over five years.

Marseille are currently in a battle with Nice to decide who will be ‘the best of the rest’ given PSG are running away with the lead. The visitors were dumped out of the cup during the week at the hands of Nice and they’ll want to get back to winning ways immediately. Jorge Sampaoli’s men have got on the scoresheet in ten consecutive Ligue 1 matches and they’ll be confident of breaching a poor Metz backline and claim victory here.

Tight match anticipated
We don’t think this one will be too high scoring, despite Marseille battling it out at the top, they’ve often struggled on the road and would probably snap your hand off if you offered them a 1-0 win now. As such, we think there is value to be had on under 2.5 goals.





译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

梅茨在过去的四场法甲比赛中有三场没有进球。
梅茨在过去的五场联赛中，半场都没有进球，过去的三场比赛也是如此。
马赛在客场的比赛中场均只有1.9个进球，是联赛中最低的。
梅茨遭受了痛苦的家庭形式
东道主当然不会享受主场的舒适，因为他们在主场的战绩是法甲其他球队中最差的。在他们在圣塞弗林市立体育场(Stade Municipal Saint-Symphorien)进行的11场比赛中，他们只尝过一次胜利的滋味，输过六场。他们也不会期待这场对马赛的比赛，因为他们最近几次都在与马赛的比赛中挣扎，而且五年来都没有赢过这场比赛。

由于巴黎圣日尔曼的领先，马赛目前正在和尼斯进行一场“剩下的球队中最好的”的较量。在这周的比赛中，客队被尼斯踢出了世界杯，他们想马上回到胜利的道路上来。乔治·桑保利的球队已经在法甲联赛中连续十场进球，他们有信心突破梅茨的后防线并在这里赢得胜利。

严格匹配预期
我们不认为这是一个很高的进球，尽管马赛在积分榜上争得头名，但他们经常在客场打得很艰难，如果你现在给他们1-0的胜利，他们可能会折断你的手。因此，我们认为2.5以下的目标是有价值的。