Atletico are unbeaten in three, winning twice
Bilbao have only won two of their last ten away fixtures
Atletico have only lost three of their last ten semi-final ties
Atletico strong in the semis

Atletico Madrid’s record in semi-finals under Diego Simeone is remarkably good. They have reached the last four in cup competitions on ten occasions since 2005/06, losing only three times; twice in the Copa del Rey and once in the Champions League.

Their recent results also suggest a return to form after a real slump in December that saw them record three successive defeats as well as just two wins in seven.

Lately, they have comfortably beaten Rayo Vallecano in the league and Rayo Majadahonda in the cup before drawing with Villarreal last weekend, while they have only lost two of their last nineteen meetings with Bilbao.

Athletic do not win enough on the road

This match is being played at a neutral venue, so while home record can be discounted, away form is still a key indicator of how Bilbao might do.

It is fair to say they have been strong on the road this year, but they simply do not win enough games, registering only two victories in 11 La Liga games on their travels.

Eight of those matches have been drawn, so they are tough to beat, but their only wins came against sides in the bottom half of the table.

Bilbao are the defending champions in the Supercopa, but I think this could be where their run comes to an end. I predict Atletico Madrid will win the game, selecting 2-1 as a correct score.



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

马竞三场不败，两场胜利
在过去的十场客场比赛中，毕尔巴鄂只赢了两场
马竞在过去的十场半决赛中只输掉了三场
马竞在半决赛中表现强劲

在迭戈·西蒙尼的带领下，马德里竞技的半决赛成绩非常好。自2005/06赛季以来，他们十次进入杯赛四强，只输了三次;两次参加国王杯，一次参加欧冠。

他们最近的成绩也表明，在经历了去年12月的暴跌之后，他们已经恢复了状态。去年12月，他们连续三次失利，七场比赛仅赢了两场。

最近，他们在联赛中轻松击败了瓦列卡诺，在杯赛中轻松击败了马加达达，并在上周末战平了比利亚雷亚尔，而在与毕尔巴鄂的19场比赛中，他们只输掉了2场。

运动员在路上赢的不够

这场比赛是在一个中立的场地进行的，所以虽然主场成绩可以打折，但客场成绩仍然是衡量毕尔巴鄂表现的关键指标。

公平地说，他们今年在客场表现强劲，但他们只是没有赢得足够的比赛，在他们的11场西甲比赛中只取得了2场胜利。

其中8场比赛是平局，所以他们很难被击败，但他们唯一的胜利是在与排名靠后的球队的比赛中取得的。

毕尔巴鄂是超级杯的卫冕冠军，但我认为这可能是他们比赛的终点。我预测马竞将赢得这场比赛，2-1是正确的得分。