Leipzig are unbeaten in three since Jesse Marsch’s sacking, beating Manchester City and Borussia Monchengladbach in their last two home games.
Arminia have lost their last two away games without scoring, and netted just four times on their travels this season, winning once.
Leipzig have won six of their eight home league games this term.
Leipzig settling under new management
Since Jesse Marsch’s departure, RB Leipzig have steadied the ship with a run of two wins and a draw. New boss Domenico Tedesco has overseen a 4-1 trouncing of Monchengladbach and an unfortunate draw at Augsburg since taking the helm, and with just five points separating them from the top four, will be looking to keep the pressure on as the Bundesliga heads into its winter break.
Despite being forced to play behind closed doors again recently, Leipzig’s home form has not been a problem at any stage this campaign. In the Bundesliga, they’ve won six of eight on their own turf, while, of the 10 league goals they’ve shipped at home, seven came in losses to Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen.
Arminia earned a huge win over Bochum in midweek, but remain five points from safety after winning just one of their last five. They’ve created the lowest expected goals tally in the league this season, and scored just 12 goals in their 16 matches. Arminia have also netted just four times on the road, and have been shut out on their last two away trips.
Back a home win, and a shutout
Despite their below-par season, Leipzig have created more expected goals than any Bundesliga team other than Bayern, and will expect to record a third home win in under two weeks on Saturday.
Given the dreadfully short price around the hosts to win, value could be found by backing them to win to nil, with Arminia being both the least creative and lowest scoring outfit in the division.
Leipzig, for their part, have the fourth-best defensive record in the Bundesliga, conceding 20 in 16. A comfortable 2-0 home win, therefore, looks a good correct score predict
译文(自动翻译仅供参考):
自从杰西·马什被解职后,莱比锡已经三场不败,在最近的两场主场比赛中击败了曼城和门兴格拉德巴赫。
阿米尼亚队在最近的两场客场比赛中都没有进球,而在本赛季的客场比赛中,他们只进了四球,赢了一场。
莱比锡在本赛季的8场主场比赛中赢了6场。
莱比锡在新的管理下定居
自从杰西·马什离开后,莱比锡已经稳定了两胜一平的战绩。新主帅多梅尼科·特德斯科上任以来经历了4-1大胜门兴格拉德巴赫,在奥格斯堡遭遇了不幸的平局,与前四名的差距仅为5分,在德甲进入冬季假期之际,他们将继续保持压力。
尽管最近被迫再次闭门比赛,莱比锡的主场状态在这个赛季的任何阶段都不是问题。在德甲,他们在自己的主场赢得了8个进球中的6个,而在主场打进的10个联赛进球中,有7个是输给拜仁慕尼黑和勒沃库森的。
阿米尼亚在周中取得了对波鸿的巨大胜利,但在最后五场比赛中只赢了一场后,仍有五分的差距。他们创造了联赛最低的进球记录,在他们的16场比赛中只进了12个球。阿米尼亚在客场也只有四次进球,而且在最近的两次客场比赛中都被拒之门外。
一场主场胜利,一场无胜
尽管本赛季成绩不佳,但莱比锡队创造的预期进球比除拜仁以外的任何一支德甲球队都多,周六有望在两周内取得第三场主场胜利。
考虑到东道主队获胜的可能性,支持他们以零比零取胜可能会带来价值,而Arminia是该分区中最缺乏创造力和得分最低的球队。
莱比锡队的防守在德甲联赛中排名第四,他们在16场比赛中丢了20球。因此,主场2-0轻松取胜,看起来是一个很好的正确的比分预测
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