Factors supporting over 2.5 goals:
Al Ahly SC's offensive ability: Al Ahly SC is one of the strongest teams in the Egyptian Super League, with a very strong offensive end and an average of a high number of goals per game.
Recent form: Al Ahly SC has been in excellent form recently and is usually able to score multiple goals in the game, even on the road.
Smouha SC's defense: Although Smouha SC tends to defend conservatively, the defensive pressure will be great when facing a strong team like Al Ahly SC, and they may be broken through many times.

Factors supporting less than 2.5 goals:
Smouha SC's defensive strategy: Smouha SC may adopt an extremely conservative defensive tactic at home, trying to suppress the game rhythm to reduce the number of goals conceded.
Al Ahly SC's solid defense: Al Ahly SC's defensive ability is also strong, and they may limit Smouha SC's scoring opportunities, which may keep the total number of goals low.

Conclusion
In general, the possibility of more than 2.5 goals in this game is high, mainly because of Al Ahly SC's strong offensive ability and recent excellent form. Al Ahly SC is expected to score at least two or three goals. Taking all factors into consideration, the probability of over 2.5 goals is slightly higher, but Smouha SC's defensive strategy may also keep the game in a lower goal range.



译文(自动翻译仅供参考):

支持超过2.5个目标的因素:
阿赫利SC的进攻能力:阿赫利SC是埃及超级联赛中最强的球队之一，进攻端非常强大，场均进球数很高。
最近状态:阿赫利最近状态很好，通常可以在比赛中打入多个进球，即使是在客场。
Smouha SC的防守:虽然Smouha SC防守倾向保守，但是面对Al Ahly SC这样的强队，防守压力会很大，可能会被突破很多次。

支持低于2.5个目标的因素:
Smouha SC的防守策略:Smouha SC在主场可能会采取极其保守的防守战术，试图压制比赛节奏，减少失球数。
阿尔阿赫利SC稳固的防守:阿尔阿赫利SC的防守能力也很强，他们可能会限制斯穆哈SC的得分机会，这可能会使总进球数保持在较低水平。

结论
总的来说，本场比赛进球超过2.5个的可能性很高，这主要是因为阿赫利SC强大的进攻能力和最近的出色状态。阿尔阿赫利SC预计至少会进2到3个球。综合考虑所有因素，超过2.5个进球的概率略高，但Smouha SC的防守策略也可能使比赛保持在较低的进球范围内。